Background and Purpose-Systolic blood pressure (SBP) during exercise has be
en found to predict a future diagnosis of hypertension, coronary heart dise
ase, and cardiovascular disease death. No studies have been conducted to sh
ow a relationship between SBP during exercise test and stroke. The aim of t
he present study was to study the associations between SBP rise, percent ma
ximum SBP at 2 minutes after exercise, and the risk of stroke in a populati
on-ba ed sample of men with no prior coronary heart disease.
Methods-SBP was measured every 2 minutes during and after the exercise test
. The subjects were a population-based sample of 1026 men without clinical
coronary heart disease, antihypertensive medication, or prior stroke at bas
eline. During an average follow-up of 10.4 years, there were 46 cases of st
roke (38 ischemic strokes).
Results-Men with SBP rise >19.7 mm Hg per minute of exercise duration had a
2.3-fold increased risk of any stroke and a 2.3-fold increased risk of isc
hemic stroke compared with men whose SBP rise was <16.1 nim Hg/min. Similar
ly, percent maximum SBP at 2 minutes after exercise (SBP at 2 minutes' reco
very divided by maximum SBP) was associated (highest tertile) with a 4.6-fo
ld increased risk of any stroke and a 5.2-fold increased risk of ischemic s
troke.
Conclusions-SBP rise during exercise and percent maximum SBP at 2 minutes a
fter exercise were directly and independently associated with the risk of a
ll stroke and ischemic stroke. Exercise SBP testing may be recommended as a
n additional tool in the prediction of future stroke.