Primary liver cancer (PLC) is common in many areas of the developing world,
but uncommon in most of the developed world. Some evidence suggests, howev
er, that the global pattern of PLC may be changing. To clarify this issue,
we examined incidence rates for PLC over the 15-year time period, 1978-92,
in selected cancer registries around the world. With some exceptions, devel
oped countries have experienced PLC increases in incidence whereas developi
ng countries have experienced declines. Although the reasons for the trends
are not entirely clear, the increased seroprevalence of HCV in the develop
ed world and the elimination of HBV-cofactors in the developing world are l
ikely to have contributed to the patterns. Further progress against PLC may
be seen in the developing world once the HBV-vaccinated segment of the pop
ulation reaches adulthood.