For patients with medically intractable epilepsy, there have been few effec
tive alternatives to resective surgery, a destructive, irreversible treatme
nt, A strategy receiving increased attention is using interictal spike patt
erns and continuous EEG measurements from epileptic patients to predict and
ultimately control seizure activity via chemical or electrical control sys
tems. This work compares results of seven linear and nonlinear methods (ana
lysis of power spectra, cross-correlation, principal components, phase, wav
elets, correlation integral, and mutual prediction) in detecting the earlie
st dynamical changes preceding 12 intracranially-re corded seizures from 4
patients. A method of counting standard deviations was used to compare acro
ss methods, and the earliest departures from thresholds determined from non
-seizure EEG were compared to a neurologist's judgement. For these data, th
e nonlinear methods offered no predictive advantage over the linear methods
. All the methods described here were successful in detecting changes leadi
ng to a seizure between one and two minutes before the first changes noted
by the neurologist, although analysis of phase correlation proved the most
robust. The success of phase analysis may be due in part to its complete in
sensitivity to amplitude, which may provide a significant source of error.