The curvature effects on the dynamics of magnetic island evolution in tokam
aks are investigated both theoretically and numerically. By taking into acc
ount perpendicular and parallel heat diffusion, a new dispersion relation i
s derived for tearing modes that match the linear and nonlinear results. Th
is evolution equation allows a quantitative description over the whole rang
e of island sizes. It predicts a nonlinear instability, i.e., growing magne
tic islands in linearly stable magnetic configurations. All these predictio
ns are in excellent agreement with full tridimensional linear and nonlinear
magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) computations with the latest version of XTOR [K.
Lerbinger and J. F. Luciani, J. Comput. Phys. 97, 444 (1991)]. These resul
ts have important consequences on the onset of neoclassical tearing modes b
ecause they predict a resistive MHD threshold. (C) 2001 American Institute
of Physics.