E. Scarpi et al., Biomarker prediction of clinical outcome in operable breast cancer patients treated with tamoxifen, BREAST CANC, 68(2), 2001, pp. 101-110
The predictivity of tumour size, oestrogen (ER) and progesterone (PgR) rece
ptors, H-3-thymidine labelling index (TLI), c-erbB-2 and p27(kip1) expressi
on on clinical outcome was analysed on a consecutive series of 118 postmeno
pausal patients with ER-positive, node-positive tumours. All patients were
treated with surgery +/- radiotherapy and adjuvant tamoxifen (30 mg/day) fo
r at least 2 years. TLI, ER, c-erbB-2 and p27(kip1) were generally unrelate
d to each other. PgR was directly related to ER and inversely to c-erbB-2.
Tumour size was inversely related to both c-erbB-2 and p27(kip1) expression
. At a median follow-up of 75 months, 5-year relapse-free survival was sign
ificantly lower for patients with very rapidly proliferating (HR = 2.61, 95
% CI = 1.34-5.08), PgR negative (HR = 2.76, 95% CI = 1.43-5.33) or relative
ly low ER content (HR = 2.20, 95% CI = 1.14-4.25) tumours than for patients
with tumours expressing the opposite biological profiles. Overall survival
was also significantly different as a function of TLI (HR = 3.47, 95% CI =
1.52-7.93) and PgR (HR = 2.27, 95% CI = 1.00-5.15). TLI and PgR maintained
an independent relevance in multivariate analysis and together were capabl
e of identifying subgroups of patients at significantly different risk of r
elapse and death.