M. Gold et al., NEEDLE EXCHANGE PROGRAMS - AN ECONOMIC-EVALUATION OF A LOCAL EXPERIENCE, CMAJ. Canadian Medical Association journal, 157(3), 1997, pp. 255-262
Objective: To determine whether providing a needle exchange program to
prevent HIV transmission among injection drug users would cost less t
han the health care consequences of not having such a program. Design:
Incidence outcome model to estimate the number of cases of HIV infect
ion that this program would prevent over 5 years, assuming that the HI
V incidence rate would be 2% with the program and 4% without it, and t
hat an estimated 275 injection drug users would use the service over t
his time. Setting: Hamilton, Ont. Outcome measures: Estimated number o
f cases of HIV infection expected to be prevented with and without the
program over 5 years; estimated lifetime health care costs of treatin
g an AIDS patient. The indirect costs of AIDS to society (e.g., lost p
roductivity and informal caregiving) were not included. Projected cost
s were adjusted (discounted) to reflect their present value. In a sens
itivity analysis, 3 parameters were varied: the estimate of the HIV tr
ansmission rate if no needle exchange program were provided, the numbe
r of injection drug users participating in the program, and the discou
nt rate. Results: With very conservative estimates, it was predicted t
hat the Hamilton needle exchange program will prevent 24 cases of HIV
infection over 5 years, thereby providing cost savings of $1.3 million
after the program costs are taken into account. This translates into
a ratio of cost savings to costs of 4:1. The sensitivity analysis conf
irmed that these findings are robust. Conclusion: Needle exchange prog
rams are an efficient use of financial resources.