Formulation and evaluation of IMS, an interactive three-dimensional tropospheric chemical transport model 3. Comparison of modelled C-2-C-5 hydrocarbons with surface measurements
Ky. Wang et al., Formulation and evaluation of IMS, an interactive three-dimensional tropospheric chemical transport model 3. Comparison of modelled C-2-C-5 hydrocarbons with surface measurements, J ATMOS CH, 40(2), 2001, pp. 123-170
In part 3 of this series of papers on a new 3-D global tropospheric chemica
l transport model, using an Integrated Modelling System (IMS), an evaluatio
n of the model performance in simulating global distributions and seasonal
variations for volatile organic compounds (VOCs) in the atmosphere, is pres
ented. Comparisons of model OH concentrations with previous model studies s
how consistent modelled OH levels from the subtropics to midlatitudes, whil
e more discrepancies occur over the tropical low latitudes, with IMS predic
ting the highest levels of OH. The close agreement between modelled OH conc
entrations over midlatitudes, where high surface NOx and VOC concentrations
are also found, is indicative of the strong photochemical coupling between
NOx, VOCs and O-3 over these latitudes. IMS OH concentrations in the North
ern Hemisphere (NH) midlatitudes during summer are generally lower than ava
ilable measurements, implying that models in general are underestimating OH
levels at this location and time of year. Substantial differences between
model OH concentrations over low latitudes clearly highlight areas of uncer
tainty between models. IMS OH concentrations are the highest in general of
the models compared, one possible reason is that biogenic emissions of spec
ies such as isoprene and monoterpenes are highest in IMS, leading to higher
O-3 levels and hence higher OH. Generally, the IMS VOC concentrations show
a similar seasonality to the measurements at most locations. In general th
ough, IMS tends to underestimate the NH wintertime VOC maximum and overesti
mate the NH summertime VOC minimum. Such an overestimate in summer could be
due to IMS underestimating OH levels, or an overestimation of VOC emission
s or possibly a problem with model transport, all of these possibilities ar
e explored. Except for n-pentane, the model underprediction of a VOC maximu
m during the NH winter month strongly suggests a missing emission mechanism
in the model or an underestimate of an existing one. It is very likely tha
t there is a lack of time varying emission sources in the model to account
for the seasonal change in emission behaviour such as increasing energy usa
ge (e.g., electricity and gas), road transportation, engine performance, an
d other anthropogenic factors which show strong seasonal characteristics. T
he anomalous overprediction of wintertime n-pentane compared with its close
summertime prediction with the measurements suggest that emissions in this
case may be too high.