Objectives: Despite the central importance of pulmonary exacerbations (PExs
) as an outcome measure in cystic fibrosis clinical trials, no standardized
definition of PEx, exists. We conducted a prospective, multicenter study t
o establish a standardized PEx definition and score for use in clinical tri
als, based on clinical status rather than on treatment decisions.
Study design: Subjects were 246 patients enrolled in the placebo arm of a r
andomized, controlled trial of tobramycin for inhalation. Physician-investi
gators completed PEx questionnaires on all subjects at scheduled intervals
during the 6-month study, indicating new or worsening symptoms, physical ex
amination findings, and impression of PEx status (presence or absence and s
everity). Logistic regression was used to assess the relative importance of
each of the characteristics in predicting a PEx.
Results: We developed 2 PEx scores that use easily ascertained symptoms and
chest examination Findings; one also includes change in forced expiratory
volume in 1 second over the preceding month. Both scores were sensitive and
specific for predicting the presence of a PEx (sensitivity, 86%; specifici
ty, 86%). The scores were validated in subjects in the intervention arm or
the trial.
Conclusion: We hope that the proposed PEx score might serve as a standardiz
ed outcome measure for future clinical trials in cystic fibrosis, allowing
meaningful comparisons of study results.