Multivariate ENSO index and Indian monsoon rainfall: relationships on monthly and subdivisional scales

Authors
Citation
Op. Singh, Multivariate ENSO index and Indian monsoon rainfall: relationships on monthly and subdivisional scales, METEOR ATM, 78(1-2), 2001, pp. 1-9
Citations number
14
Categorie Soggetti
Earth Sciences
Journal title
METEOROLOGY AND ATMOSPHERIC PHYSICS
ISSN journal
01777971 → ACNP
Volume
78
Issue
1-2
Year of publication
2001
Pages
1 - 9
Database
ISI
SICI code
0177-7971(2001)78:1-2<1:MEIAIM>2.0.ZU;2-A
Abstract
El Nino/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is known to cause world-wide weather an omalies. It influences the Indian Monsoon Rainfall (IMR) also. But due to l arge spatial and temporal variability of monsoon rains, it becomes difficul t to state any single uniform relationship between the ENSO and IMR that ho lds good over different subdivisions of India, though the general type of r elationship between all India monsoon rainfall and ENSO is known since long . The selection of the most suitable ENSO index to correlate with the IMR i s another problem. The purpose of the present study is twofold, namely, to examine the relationship between the ENSO and IMR for entire monsoon season by using an ENSO index which represents the ENSO phenomenon in a comprehen sive way, namely, the Multivariate ENSO Index (MEI) and to establish the re lationships between MEI and IMR for every meteorological subdivision of Ind ia for each monsoon month; i.e. June, July, August and September. A compari son of MEI/IMR correlations has been made with Southern Oscillation Index ( SOI)/IMR correlations. The result may find applications in the long range f orecasting of IMR on monthly and subdivisional scales, especially over the high monsoon rainfall variability regions of Northwestern and the Peninsula r India.