The probability distribution of the differential group delay (DGD) at any f
iber length is determined by use of a physically reasonable model of the fi
ber birefringence. We show that if the fiber correlation length is of the s
ame order as or larger than the beat length, the DGD distribution approache
s a Maxwellian in roughly 30 fiber correlation lengths, corresponding to a
couple of kilometers in realistic cases. We also find that the probability
distribution function of the polarization dispersion vector at the output o
f the fiber depends on the angle between it and the local birefringence vec
tor on the Poincare sphere, showing that the DGD remains correlated with th
e orientation of the local birefringence axes over arbitrarily long distanc
es. (C) 2001 Optical Society of America.