Most thermoforming product development processes rely on costly and time-co
nsuming forming trials to determine the adequacy of the mold and process. I
n this paper, an analytical method is developed for shrinkage predictions o
n the basis of a visco-elastic constitutive material model with initial con
ditions from a commercial thermoforming simulation. The theoretical analysi
s has been developed to accommodate different sets of materials, process co
nditions, and mold geometry. The shrinkage model consists of a transient th
ermal analysis for temperature solution; a stretching phase analysis for in
flation-induced stress estimation; a post-contact analysis for thermal stre
ss and relaxation; and a post-molding strain analysis based on stress solut
ion. The shrinkage prediction analysis has been developed and validated wit
h a complex geometry thermoforming application. The results indicate that t
he shrinkage estimates provided by the analysis were within the objective t
olerances of 0.1%, as measured in terms of absolute prediction error of par
t dimensions.