A numerical investigation of the 1997-1998 Ronne Polynya

The summer season of 1997-1998 marked an unprecedented extent of open water in the southern Weddell Sea, not observed since satellite observations beg an in the early 1970s. Wind patterns during the summer period tended to be more southerly than in years with typical summer ice coverage, leading to t he hypothesis that the polynya opened due to ice advection away from the Ro nne Ice Shelf and subsequent enhanced melting through the open water-albedo feedback mechanism. A numerical model is run using a bulk forcing data set from the 1980s for model spin-up and the control run. Initiation of the po lynya by the anomalous wind pattern is investigated numerically by substitu ting winds from the 1997-1998 period for the control winds. While a narrow polynya is present in the control run, it opens considerably with the 1997- 1998 winds, to the extent observed in the satellite images. If solar radiat ion flux is not allowed to heat the mixed layer, the sea ice in front of th e Ronne Ice Shelf shows some opening, but the polynya does not form to the extent observed, demonstrating the important role played by open water-albe do feedback. The mixed layer heat budget analysis shows the predominant bal ance in these three runs was derived from surface forcing and that the upwe lling of heat from the deep ocean was not a significant driving force for t he 1997-1998 Ronne Polynya. Further analysis of the fresh water budget indi cates that the mixed layer salinity increased in areas of open water during the 1997-1998 season by as much as 0.5 psu.