Probability and symmetry

Citation
P. Bartha et R. Johns, Probability and symmetry, PHILOS SCI, 68(3), 2001, pp. S109-S122
Citations number
11
Categorie Soggetti
Philosiphy
Journal title
PHILOSOPHY OF SCIENCE
ISSN journal
00318248 → ACNP
Volume
68
Issue
3
Year of publication
2001
Supplement
S
Pages
S109 - S122
Database
ISI
SICI code
0031-8248(200109)68:3<S109:PAS>2.0.ZU;2-J
Abstract
The Principle of Indifference, which dictates that we ought to assign two o utcomes equal probability in the absence of known reasons to do otherwise, is vulnerable to well-known objections. Nevertheless, the appeal of the pri nciple, and of symmetry-based assignments of equal probability, persists. W e show that, relative to a given class of symmetries satisfying certain pro perties, we are justified in calling certain outcomes equally probable, and more generally, in defining what we call relative probabilities. Relative probabilities are useful in providing a generalized approach to conditional ization. The technique is illustrated by application to simple examples.