Vk. Ivanov et al., Mortality among the Chernobyl emergency workers: Estimation of radiation risks (preliminary analysis), HEALTH PHYS, 81(5), 2001, pp. 514-521
Citations number
12
Categorie Soggetti
Environment/Ecology,"Public Health & Health Care Science
This paper presents results of the analysis of mortality among Chernobyl ac
cident emergency workers who are resident in Russia. The analysis is based
on information for the cohort of emergency workers (males) from six regions
of Russia including 65,905 persons with documented external doses in the r
ange 0.005-0.3 Sv. These data were gathered during the period 1991 to 1998
and cover a total of 426,304 follow-up person-y. In this period, 4,995 deat
hs occurred in the cohort under study. The mortality analysis was performed
for four groups of causes of death (ICD-9 codes): (1) malignant neoplasms
(140-239); (2) cardiovascular diseases (390-459); (3) injuries, poisoning a
nd violent deaths, (800-999); and (4) the remainder (other than the above).
The standardized mortality rate for groups 1, 3, and 4 is less than unity
and varies from 0.6 to 0.9. For group 2 (death from cardiovascular diseases
) the standardized mortality rate conforms with the control within 95% conf
idence intervals. The control was the mortality rate (males) for the corres
ponding ages in Russia in general and the internal control, the spontaneous
mortality among emergency workers, derived from the equation of the observ
ed and expected number of cases in the followed up cohort. Dose response of
mortality was studied. Statistically significant radiation risks were obta
ined for mortality from malignant neoplasms (515 cases) and cardiovascular
diseases (1,728 cases). The values of the excess relative risk per unit dos
e (ERR Sv(-1)) for malignant neoplasms and cardiovascular diseases are esti
mated as 2.11 (1.31, 2.92 95% CI) and 0.54 (0.18, 0.91 95% CI) (for externa
l control), 2.04 (0.45, 4.31 95% CI) and 0.79 (0.07, 1.64 95% CI) (for inte
rnal control), respectively. The risk of death from all noncancer causes is
close to zero and not statistically significant.