Market mechanism and expectations in minority and majority games

Authors
Citation
M. Marsili, Market mechanism and expectations in minority and majority games, PHYSICA A, 299(1-2), 2001, pp. 93-103
Citations number
21
Categorie Soggetti
Physics
Journal title
PHYSICA A
ISSN journal
03784371 → ACNP
Volume
299
Issue
1-2
Year of publication
2001
Pages
93 - 103
Database
ISI
SICI code
0378-4371(20011001)299:1-2<93:MMAEIM>2.0.ZU;2-4
Abstract
We present a derivation of the minority game from a market mechanism. Th is shows that the minority nature of the interaction crucially depends on the expectation model of agents. The same market mechanism with different expe ctations leads indeed to the majority game. We study in detail the minority game without information and clarify the role of initial conditions on the dynamics. The stronger and the more heterogeneous the prior beliefs which agents hold on the best choice, the more efficient is the final stationary state. We also review the effect of market impact. Finally we discuss mixed minority-majority games in order to address the issue of whether the dynam ics of the market satisfies the expectations of agents. We find that in bot h a minority and a majority game expectations are self-fulfilled. (C) 2001 Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserved.