Issue network analysis techniques were applied to the issue of sustainable
forestry in the United States to identify potential public and private outc
omes for the issue. A quantitative approach based on work by Laumann and Kn
oke [The Organizational State (1987)] was utilized in conjunction with the
Delphi method. Results suggest that the parity in the distribution of influ
ence among network sectors means that moving the issue of sustainable fores
try onto the formal policy agenda will require more consensus on problems a
nd solutions than exists at the present time. Accordingly, broad policy act
ions resulting from the expansion of the issue of sustainable forestry are
unlikely in the short-term. However, experts on the Delphi panel anticipate
that changes will occur in response to sustainability issues. At the feder
al and state level, this is likely to result in changes to public forest ma
nagement and to the objectives assigned to the USDA Forest Service and to t
he state forestry agencies. States are projected to draft new and to change
old private forest practices regulations as a result of sustainable forest
ry concerns. In the private sector, the trend of applying criteria and indi
cator-based sustainable forestry management standards and certification pro
grams will continue. Non-industrial private forest owners are projected to
make the fewest direct accommodations. Finally, where directly comparable,
the Delphi study's results were not significantly different from the quanti
tative approach, suggesting that Delphi has promise for network research ap
plications. (C) 2001 Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserved.