Cardiovascular reactivity and recovery were examined as predictors of blood
pressure changes over 3 years. Blood pressure and heart rate readings were
obtained from 73 men and women aged 18-20 years during cold pressor, menta
l arithmetic, tourniquet ischemia, cycle exercise and step exercise tasks.
Regression analyses indicated that after adjustment for initial blood press
ure, initial age, initial body-mass index, sex., parental history of hypert
ension, and length of follow-up, heightened heart rate reactivity to mental
arithmetic was associated with increased follow-up systolic blood pressure
(DeltaR(2) =0.04, P <0.05). Systolic blood pressure recovery from cold pre
ssor and tourniquet ischemia were also positively related to follow-up syst
olic blood pressure (DeltaR(2) = 0.04 and 0.04, respectively, P < 0.05) and
remained so even after adjustment for the corresponding cardiovascular rea
ctivity measures. These findings suggest that cardiovascular reactivity and
recovery measures are modest predictors of longitudinal changes in blood p
ressure. (C) 2001 Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserved.