Tolerance control is the set of practices used to ensure that parts are mad
e within their specifications. Sequential Tolerance Control (STC) is the pr
actice of using the results of earlier operations in the execution of a pro
cess plan to locate appropriate set points for later operations. In a previ
ously developed set-point adjustment method, the largest sphere that fits i
nto the remaining feasible space is moved to its extreme positions in the c
oordinate direction of the next operation, x(k), and the next set point is
positioned at the mean of the kth coordinates of the centres in these two p
ositions. Scaling the feasible space in proportion to the variability of ea
ch operation has also been investigated. This paper presents a probabilisti
c search method for STC. This method finds the new set point by using the N
elder-Mead downhill simplex method to optimize an estimation of the expecte
d process yield. Probabilistic search is found to be about as effective as
sphere-fitting methods for normally distributed process deviations, but for
skewed distributions, the search method is shown to yield better set point
s than previous methods.