The cosmological evolution of the QSO luminosity functions (LFs) at NIR/opt
ical/X-ray bands for 1.3 less than or similar to z less than or similar to
3.5 is discussed based on realistic QSO spectra. The accretion-disk theory
predicts that although the QSO luminosities only depend on the mass-accreti
on rate, (M) over dot, the QSO spectra have dependence on the black-hole ma
ss, M-BH, as well. The smaller is M-BH and/or the larger is (M) over dot, t
he harder does the QSO NIR/optical/UV spectrum become. We modeled the disk
spectra which can reproduce these features, and calculated the LFs for a re
dshift of z similar to 3 with the assumption of new-born QSOs shining at th
e Eddington luminosity. The main results are: (i) the LFs observed at optic
al and X-ray bands can be simultaneously reproduced. (ii) LFs in the optica
l and X-ray bands are not sensitive to M-BH, while LFs at the NIR bands are
; about a one order of magnitude difference is expected in the volume numbe
r densities at L-i,L-j similar to 10(46) erg s(-1) between the case that al
l QSOs would have the same spectral shape as that of M-BH = 10(9) M-circle
dot and the case with M-BH = 10(11) M-circle dot. (iii) The resultant Us at
NIR are dominated by 10(7) M-circle dot black holes at L-t,L-J less than o
r similar to 10(44) erg s(-1), and by 10(11) M-circle dot black holes at L-
1,L-J greater than or similar to 10(46) erg s(-1). Future infrared observat
ions from space (e.g. NGST) will probe the cosmological evolution of black-
hole masses. For a redshift of z < 3, on the other hand, the observed optic
al/X-ray Us can be fitted if the initial QSO luminosity, L-0, is below the
Eddington luminosity, L-Edd. Interestingly, the best-fitted values of l equ
ivalent to L-0/L-Edd are different in the B- and X-ray bands; l(B) approxim
ate to 2.5 l(x). The reason for this discrepancy is briefly discussed.