Indonesia has played a vital role in the security of South-East Asia for mo
re than 30 years, both through its prominent position in ASEAN and the ARF
and through the stability and longevity of the Suharto regime. The central
theme of this article emphasizes that peace and stability in Indonesia are
the key to peace and stability in the South-East Asian region. However, ins
tability within ASEAN countries themselves and the risk of serious upheaval
in Indonesia have the potential to infect other parts of South-East Asia.
The author assesses Indonesia's role in shaping regional security and the c
ountry's prospects for a successful democratic future in which the West has
a strong interest in encouraging the more moderate Indonesian Islamic elem
ents to build enduring and democratic political institutions.