A quantitative theory is described for the boundary layer of fully turbulen
t parallel shear flow. In past literature, this region has been called the
"laminar sublayer" and enters as a central amplitude-determining factor int
o the current empirical statistical descriptions of the full flow. The idea
lization explored here parallels the ingenious view advanced by Howard [1]
to interpret the fully developed thermal convective boundary layer. Howard
pictured a thermal boundary layer swept away by a swift convective instabil
ity, and then reestablishing itself on a diffusive time scale. Here, a para
llel study for the shear-flow boundary layer is advanced based on the presu
mption that the time-dependent instability of the growing diffusive layer i
s a dominant first-order aspect of this essentially nonlinear process. The
quantitative results support this ordering, as do the initial nonlinear flo
ws emerging from the growing instability. Application of these findings is
made to the problem of thermal convection with an external flow, which modi
fies the instability. Also studied is the "classical" initial instability o
f parallel shearing flow, and from these results, possible improvement in u
pper bound theories for turbulent flows.