Has the maximum of Solar Cycle 23 appeared?

Citation
Jl. Wang et al., Has the maximum of Solar Cycle 23 appeared?, CHIN SCI B, 46(19), 2001, pp. 1603-1605
Citations number
6
Categorie Soggetti
Multidisciplinary
Journal title
CHINESE SCIENCE BULLETIN
ISSN journal
10016538 → ACNP
Volume
46
Issue
19
Year of publication
2001
Pages
1603 - 1605
Database
ISI
SICI code
1001-6538(200110)46:19<1603:HTMOSC>2.0.ZU;2-Q
Abstract
In this note, we define firstly a compositive parameter as an index describ ing the level of solar activity in a solar cycle. The parameter is derived from a combination of the smoothed monthly mean sunspot number with the flu ctuation of the associated monthly mean sunspot numbers to the smoothed one . Then, a method is developed for estimating the time of the appearance of a solar maximum based on the conception of similar cycles. An application o f the method to the 23rd solar cycle shows that the maximum of the cycle sh ould have appeared in the period from April to August 2000, and the descend ing phase of Cycle 23 has come.