Study objective To use a readily available dataset to detect periods of epi
demic change and to examine the progression of heroin epidemics in differen
t geographical areas. To consider the implications of epidemic change for s
trategies to tackle drug misuse.
Design-Comparison of trends in new treatment demand, observed incidence, an
d age specific population rates for treated heroin users in two geographica
l areas.
Participants-Heroin users recorded to have sought treatment.
Main results-The areas studied seem to show differences with respect to tre
nds in new treatment demand, incidence of heroin use and distribution of ag
e specific population rates; indicating that they may be at different epide
mic stages.
Conclusions-These analyses show how areas may differ with respect to epidem
ic progression of heroin use. It is essential that government strategies, a
nd local responses to these, should be cognisant of these dynamics.