Lm. Fitzwater et Sr. Winterstein, Predicting design wind turbine loads from limited data: Comparing random process and random peak models, J SOL ENERG, 123(4), 2001, pp. 364-371
Citations number
13
Categorie Soggetti
Environmental Engineering & Energy
Journal title
JOURNAL OF SOLAR ENERGY ENGINEERING-TRANSACTIONS OF THE ASME
This paper considers two distinct topics that arise in reliability-based wi
nd turbine design. First, it illustrates how, general probability models ca
n be used to predict long-term design loads from a set of limited-duration,
short-term load histories. Second, it considers in detail the precise choi
ce of probability model to be adopted, for both flap and edge bending loads
in both parked and operating turbine conditions. In particular a 3-moment
random peak model and a 3- or 4-moment random process model are applied and
compared. For a parked turbine, all models are found to be virtually unbia
sed and to notably reduce uncertainty in estimating extreme loads (e.g., by
roughly 50%). For an operating turbine, however, only the random peak mode
l is found to retain these beneficial features. This suggests the advantage
of the random peak model, which appears to capture the rotating blade beha
vior sufficiently well to accurately predict extremes.