A study of the regularities in solar magnetic activity by singular spectral analysis

Citation
Ay. Loskutov et al., A study of the regularities in solar magnetic activity by singular spectral analysis, ASTRON LETT, 27(11), 2001, pp. 745-753
Citations number
30
Categorie Soggetti
Space Sciences
Journal title
ASTRONOMY LETTERS-A JOURNAL OF ASTRONOMY AND SPACE ASTROPHYSICS
ISSN journal
10637737 → ACNP
Volume
27
Issue
11
Year of publication
2001
Pages
745 - 753
Database
ISI
SICI code
1063-7737(200111)27:11<745:ASOTRI>2.0.ZU;2-B
Abstract
The method of singular spectral analysis (SSA) is described and used to ana lyze the series of Wolf numbers that characterizes solar activity from 1748 until 1996. Since this method is relatively new, we detail its algorithm a s applied to the data under study. We examine the advantages and disadvanta ges of the SSA method arid the conditions for its applicability to an analy sis of the solar-activity data. Certain regularities have been found in the dynamics of this series. Both short and long (80-100-year) periodicities h ave been revealed in the sunspot dynamics. We predict the solar activity un til 2014. (C) 2001 MAIK "Nauka/Interperiodica".