This paper estimates the importance of strategy, scale and policy in determ
ining the pattern of exit in the Australian car industry. Previous studies
found only a weak role for strategy in exit from declining industries. Usin
g a new dataset and improvements on the specification used in earlier studi
es, we find evidence that strategy influences the pattern of exit where eco
nomies of scale are less important. Protection is also found to negatively
influence the likelihood of exit.