Background. Chronic allograft nephropathy (CAN) is a composite term for var
ious types of damage to a kidney transplant. We wanted to analyse its compo
nents in relation to baseline biopsy findings, transplant function, and out
come.
Methods. Among renal transplantations performed from 1985 to 1997, 156 were
identified where allograft biopsies had been obtained on clinical indicati
on 6 months after transplantation or later, baseline biopsies were availabl
e in each case and the patient's original disease was known. Time after tra
nsplantation was median 2.2 years (range 0.5-13). The biopsies were reviewe
d and the Banff 1997 CAN score obtained.
Results. All but one late biopsy showed some CAN grade, 48% grade II, and 7
.5% grade III. Acute tubulointerstitial rejection was seen in 9% but vascul
ar rejection in only 3%. Arterial wall thickening was present in 66% of the
late biopsies, correlated with donor age and its presence at baseline but
also with time after transplantation. The Banff CAN score and serum creatin
ine level were both independent predictors of further graft survival, relat
ive risk 0.35 (confidence interval 0.15-0.82. P = 0.015) for CAN grade I vs
III and 0.30 (0.14-0.67 P = 0.003) for serum creatinine < 170 vs > 250 mu
mol/l. Presence of arterial wall thickening had no prognostic impact.
Conclusion. The CAN grade is predictive of further graft survival independe
ntly of the serum creatinine level. Interstitial fibrosis and tubular atrop
hy are more prominent features of chronic graft damage than vascular reject
ion. Unspecific arterial wall thickening is partly dependent on baseline co
nditions and lacks prognostic impact in this late stage.