We study the implications of optimal dynamic contracts in private informati
on environments for fluctuations in effort and employment across time and p
roductivity states. To this end, we incorporate temporary layoffs and perma
nent separations as well as on-the-job effort variations into a dynamic mod
el of moral hazard. We consider two different "commitment" environments. In
a "full commitment" environment, although the firm can temporarily lay a w
orker off, neither party can dissolve the contractual relationship once it
has been initiated. On the other hand, in a "limited commitment" environmen
t, both parties can dissolve the relationship at the beginning of any perio
d in order to pursue an outside option.
We use our model to study the implications of optimal contracts: for incent
ives, employment histories, layoffs and separations across full information
, full commitment and limited commitment settings. We compute solutions to
the relevant principal-agent problems, endogenously determining the set off
states in which separations occur and the domain of the firm's value funct
ion, as well as the value function itself.