Hepatitis C virus (HCV) is a leading worldwide cause of liver disease. Here
, we use a new model of HCV spread to investigate the epidemic behavior of
the virus and to estimate its basic reproductive number from gene sequence
data. We find significant differences in epidemic behavior among HCV subtyp
es and suggest that these differences are largely the result of subtype-spe
cific transmission patterns. Our model builds a bridge between the discipli
nes of population genetics and mathematical epidemiology by using pathogen
gene sequences to infer the population dynamic history of an infectious dis
ease.