Surrogate data pathologies and the false-positive rejection of the null hypothesis

Citation
Pe. Rapp et al., Surrogate data pathologies and the false-positive rejection of the null hypothesis, INT J B CH, 11(4), 2001, pp. 983-997
Citations number
11
Categorie Soggetti
Multidisciplinary
Journal title
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF BIFURCATION AND CHAOS
ISSN journal
02181274 → ACNP
Volume
11
Issue
4
Year of publication
2001
Pages
983 - 997
Database
ISI
SICI code
0218-1274(200104)11:4<983:SDPATF>2.0.ZU;2-6
Abstract
It is shown that inappropriately constructed random phase surrogates can gi ve false-positive rejections of the surrogate null hypothesis. Specifically , the procedure erroneously indicated the presence of deterministic, nonlin ear structure in a time series that was constructed by linearly filtering n ormally distributed random numbers. It is shown that the erroneous identifi cation was due to numerical errors in the estimation of the signal's Fourie r transform. In the example examined here, the introduction of data windowi ng into the algorithm eliminated the false-positive rejection of the null h ypothesis. Additional guidelines for the use of surrogates are considered, and the results of a comparison test of random phase surrogates, Gaussian s caled surrogates and iterative surrogates are presented.