SETTING: The Agincourt demographic and health surveillance site in South Af
rica's rural Northern Province.
OBJECTIVES: To accurately assess the true burden of tuberculosis in a rural
sub-district with a known high prevalence of human immunodeficiency virus.
DESIGN: Data on hospital registrations of tuberculosis were combined with d
ata from an ongoing demographic health and surveillance system to accuratel
y describe the burden of tuberculosis in a well-defined community. Undiagno
sed active cases of sputum-positive disease in the community were detected
among chronic coughers identified by heads of household during a single-pas
s census interview.
RESULTS: The incidence of hospitalised tuberculosis among the permanently r
esident population (n = 56 566) was 212/100 000 person-years during 1999. T
he average point prevalence of detected tuberculosis tall forms) among pati
ents aged over 10 years was 133/100 000, and 81/100 000 for sputum-positive
pulmonary disease. This compares with a point prevalence of 16/100 000 cas
es of sputum-positive disease detected through active case finding.
CONCLUSION: For every nine cases of sputum positive pulmonary tuberculosis
being treated at any one time, there are two cases of undiagnosed disease i
n the community. This study demonstrates a modest burden of undiagnosed tub
erculosis among residents in a rural sub-district in South Africa.