CYCLICAL PREFERENCES AND WORLD BAYESIANISM

Authors
Citation
Jh. Sobel, CYCLICAL PREFERENCES AND WORLD BAYESIANISM, Philosophy of science, 64(1), 1997, pp. 42-73
Citations number
35
Categorie Soggetti
History & Philosophy of Sciences","History & Philosophy of Sciences
Journal title
ISSN journal
00318248
Volume
64
Issue
1
Year of publication
1997
Pages
42 - 73
Database
ISI
SICI code
0031-8248(1997)64:1<42:CPAWB>2.0.ZU;2-N
Abstract
An example shows that 'pairwise preferences' (certain hypothetical cho ices) can cycle even when rational. General considerations entail that preferences tout court (certain relations of actual valuations) canno t cycle. A world-bayesian theory is explained that accommodates these two kinds of preference, and a theory for rational actions that would have them maximize and be objects of ratifiable choices. It is observe d that choices can be unratifiable either because of troublesome crede nces or because of troublesome preferences. An appendix comments on a third way in which efforts to maximize can be frustrated.