This paper uses neo-classical investment theory and time series data for Pa
kistan's Manufacturing Sector to test the relative efficacy of tax expendit
ure and direct expenditure to boost private non-residential investment. The
result shows that the tax policy through cost of capital and expenditure p
olicy through public investment are important determinants of private inves
tment. It is argued that although both tax and expenditure policies are suc
cessful, the tax expenditure (depreciation allowances) is more effective th
an direct expenditure. This paper also argues that the economic estimates o
f tax expenditure are very high implying that most of the benefits of tax e
xpenditure go to those investors who would have invested even in the absenc
e of these concessions. (C) 2001 Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserved.