Can we have both - Real and nominal - Convergence?

Authors
Citation
K. Smidkova, Can we have both - Real and nominal - Convergence?, FINANC A U, 51(6), 2001, pp. 364-376
Citations number
23
Categorie Soggetti
Economics
Journal title
FINANCE A UVER
ISSN journal
00151920 → ACNP
Volume
51
Issue
6
Year of publication
2001
Pages
364 - 376
Database
ISI
SICI code
0015-1920(2001)51:6<364:CWHB-R>2.0.ZU;2-0
Abstract
Candidate countries for accession to the EU often view EU convergence crite ria as difficult given that the period of faster growth that real convergen ce necessitates is usually associated with higher inflation. This paper arg ues that it is important to focus on the mechanism of real convergence in t his regard. If economic growth is accelerated by virtue of the closing of a technology gap, the processes of nominal and real convergence can indeed b e compatible, In order to analyze this hypothesis, model simulations were r un for five accession countries assuming a scenario in which FDI increases exogenously. The model used for simulation is a modified version of the mod el used in a related research project of Barrell, Holland, Kovacs, Jakab, S midkova, Sepp, and Cufer (2001). According to simulation results, CPI falls and GDP per capita increases compared to the baseline following the introd uction of an FDI shock. Although the results are not identical for all five countries, the hypothesis of compatibility of convergence criteria is gene rally supported.