Background and Purpose-The ability to predict future strokes in asymptomati
c patients with carotid stenosis is currently limited. The management of sy
mptomatic patients with < 50% stenosis is also debatable, In this context,
we performed the following open prospective study to identify factors affec
ting symptomatology in patients with carotid stenosis.
Methods-During 1988-1997, 442 arteries with various degrees of stenosis wer
e followed with the use of color Duplex ultrasonography every 6 months. The
main outcome measures were development of symptoms related to the carotid
territory and progression in the degree of stenosis.
Results Of follow-up were analyzed in relation to the traditional risk fact
ors for atherosclerosis as well as the ultrasonographic characteristics of
the plaques. Statistical analysis was performed by multiple linear and Cox
regression analysis. Results-Mean duration of follow-up was 44 months (rang
e, 12 to 120 months). Significant progression of stenosis occurred in 18.5%
of the cases and was more frequent in younger patients (P = 0.09), in pati
ents with coronary artery disease (P = 0.02), and in patients with echoluce
nt plaques (P = 0.02), In regard to clinical presentation, men (P = 0.07),
hypertensives (P = 0.07), and patients with echolucent plaques (P = 0.09) s
howed a trend toward higher frequency of stroke in their history. During th
e follow-up period. neurological events developed in 12.4% of the cases and
were associated with the severity of carotid disease (P < 0.001), history
of neurological events (P = 0.02), progression of stenosis (P = 0.002). ech
olucent plaques (P = 0.01). and hypertension (P = 0.02).
Conclusions-Factors other than de-ree of stenosis and history of neurologic
al events are also important in determining high-risk carotid plaque. In ou
r study hypertension. echolucent plaques, and progressive lesions were asso
ciated with an increased risk of neurological events. These factors should
be taken into consideration in determining treatment strategies for carotid
stenosis.