Why the pessimistic induction is a fallacy

Authors
Citation
Pj. Lewis, Why the pessimistic induction is a fallacy, SYNTHESE, 129(3), 2001, pp. 371-380
Citations number
15
Categorie Soggetti
Philosiphy
Journal title
SYNTHESE
ISSN journal
00397857 → ACNP
Volume
129
Issue
3
Year of publication
2001
Pages
371 - 380
Database
ISI
SICI code
0039-7857(2001)129:3<371:WTPIIA>2.0.ZU;2-S
Abstract
Putnam and Laudan separately argue that the falsity of past scientific theo ries gives us reason to doubt the truth of current theories. Their argument s have been highly influential, and have generated a significant literature over the past couple of decades. Most of this literature attempts to defen d scientific realism by attacking the historical evidence on which the prem ises of the relevant argument are based. However, I argue that both Putnam' s and Laudan's arguments are fallacious, and hence attacking their premises is unnecessary. The paper concludes with a discussion of the further histo rical evidence that would be required if the pessimistic induction is to pr esent a serious threat to scientific realism.