Factorial experiments were conducted using source waters from seven drinkin
g water treatment plants in Ontario, Canada to develop statistically based
model equations capable of predicting chlorine dioxide consumption and chlo
rite and chlorate formation upon chlorine dioxide application. The equation
s address raw water quality and operational parameters including pH, temper
ature, chlorine dioxide concentration, reaction time and water organic cont
ent (as described by non-purgeable organic carbon x ultraviolet absorbance
measured at 254 nm, NPOC x UV254). Terms describing two-factor interaction
effects were also included, improving the accuracy of the predictive equati
ons in fitting measured response concentrations as evaluated through intern
al and external validations. Nearly 80% of the predictions for chlorine dio
xide consumption and chlorite formation were observed to be within 20% of t
he measured levels. Over 90% of the predicted chlorate levels were within /- 0.1 mg,/L of the measured levels. Chlorine dioxide concentration and NPO
C x UV254 were key parameters when developing the predictive models. (C) 20
01 Elsevier Science Ltd. All rights reserved.