MITIGATION ASSESSMENT RESULTS AND PRIORITIES FOR CHINA ENERGY SECTOR

Energy-related CO2 emission projections of China up to 2030 are given. CO2 mitigation potential and technology options in main fields of ene rgy conservation and energy substitution are analyzed. CO2 reduction c osts of main mitigation technologies are estimated and the multi-crite ria approach is used for assessment of priority technologies. The resu lts of this study show (1) Given population expansion and high GDP gro wth, energy-related CO2 emissions will increase in China. (2) There ex ists a large energy conservation potential in China. (3) Adjustment of industry structure and increase of shares of products with high added value have and will play a very important role in reducing energy int ensify of GDP. (4) Energy conservation and substitution of coal by nat ural gas, nuclear power, hydropower and renewable energy will be the k ey technological measures in a long-term strategy to reduce GHG emissi on. (5) Identification and implementation of GHG mitigation technologi es is consistent with China's targets of sustainable development and e nvironmental protection (6) Energy efficiency improvement is a ''no-re gret'' option for CO2 reduction, whereas an incremental cost is needed to develop hydropower and renewable energy. (C) 1997 Elsevier Science Ltd.