Bw. Sellwood et Pj. Valdes, GEOLOGICAL EVALUATION OF CLIMATE GENERAL-CIRCULATION MODELS AND MODELIMPLICATIONS FOR MESOZOIC CLOUD COVER, Terra nova, 9(2), 1997, pp. 75-78
General Circulation Models (GCMs) are currently used to predict future
global change. However, the robustness of GCMs can, and should, be ev
aluated by their ability to simulate past climate regimes. Their succe
ss in 'retrodiction' can then be assessed by reference to the testimon
y of the geological record. Geological evidence provides a database wh
ich can be used in the estimation of sea surface temperatures and othe
r proxy data useful in palaeoclimatic studies. These data can then be
used to refine the prescribed boundary conditions for running GCMs the
mselves. Results of modelling experiments confirm a generally warmer M
esozoic earth with arid tropics and convective rainfall higher over th
e oceans than at present. Circum polar wetlands are also indicated. Mo
delled cloudiness is also higher in the Mesozoic, contributing to gree
nhouse conditions and possibly influencing terrestrial biomes and mari
ne ecosystems.