L. Winner et al., THE TRANSFER OF JUVENILES TO CRIMINAL COURT - REEXAMINING RECIDIVISM OVER THE LONG-TERM, Crime and delinquency, 43(4), 1997, pp. 548-563
A long-term recidivism study was conducted in Florida on matched pairs
of juveniles, where one subject in each pair had been transferred to
the adult system in 1987 and the other had not. Rearrest information o
n the pairs from their release from sanctions through November 1994 wa
s used to determine the probabilities of rearrest and the times to rea
rrest of transfers and nontransfers, adjusting for time at risk. Trans
fer diminished the rearrest chances for property felons, an advantage
that was offset by an enhanced probability of rearrest among transfers
for other offense categories. Survival analysis showed that transfers
were rearrested more quickly and were rearrested more times on averag
e.