Ii. Mokhov et Av. Eliseev, TRENDS OF THE CHARACTERISTICS OF ANNUAL VARIATIONS IN TROPOSPHERIC AND STRATOSPHERIC TEMPERATURES, Izvestia Akademii nauk. Rossijskaa akademia nauk. Fizika atmosfery iokeana, 33(4), 1997, pp. 452-463
The evolution of the amplitude of annual variations (AAV) in the surfa
ce air temperature and temperatures of different tropospheric and lowe
r stratospheric layers is estimated in the presence of global changes
in the earth climate system. The estimates are based on different mont
hly mean and seasonal mean temperature data over recent decades (from
greater than three decades to 140 years) and are obtained for differen
t latitude ranges and the entire Northern and Southern hemispheres, in
cluding separate estimates over the land and the ocean. A general decr
ease in the AAV of surface air temperature over the land, especially i
n the middle and high latitudes, is observed simultaneously with globa
l warming from data over greater than 100 recent years. However, oppos
ite tendencies occur over the land and certain oceanic regions. During
the past few decades, a general decrease in lower stratosphere temper
atures with a statistically significant increase in amplitudes of annu
al variations in the high latitudes has corresponded to a general incr
ease in the surface air temperature. Along with a qualitative analysis
of interconnection between the revealed trends and different climatic
mechanisms, they are compared with outputs of climatic models, includ
ing general circulation models. In connection with the revealed evolut
ion of annual temperature variations, a general tendency of decreasing
the amplitude of quasi-biennial temperature oscillations in the tropo
sphere and an opposite tendency in the stratosphere, both with simulta
neous global warming, can be expected.