J. Pemberton, THE EXTENT OF DEPARTURES FROM DEBT NEUTRALITY WHEN FUTURE INCOME IS UNCERTAIN, Manchester School of Economic and Social Studies, 65(4), 1997, pp. 394-410
A model of stochastic consumption behaviour over the life cycle is use
d to reconsider earlier conclusions by Barsky, Mankiw and Zeldes (''Ri
cardian Consumers with Keynesian Propensities'', American Economic Rev
iew, Vol. 76, No. 4 (1986), pp. 676-691) and Barro (''The Ricardian Ap
proach to Budget Deficits'', Journal of Economic Perspectives, Vol. 3,
No. 2 (1989), pp. 37-54) about the extent to which income uncertainty
can induce departures from pure debt neutrality. The results suggest
that Barro understates, and Barsky ct al. overstate, the importance of
income uncertainty in this context.