S. Nagataki et al., THYROID-DISEASES AMONG ATOMIC-BOMB SURVIVORS IN NAGASAKI, JAMA, the journal of the American Medical Association, 272(5), 1994, pp. 364-370
Objective.-To elucidate the current thyroid disease status for the Nag
asaki Adult Health Study cohort of the Radiation Effects Research Foun
dation. Design.-Survey study. Setting.- Nagasaki, Japan. Participants.
-Cohort members of the Nagasaki Adult Health Study who received bienni
al health examinations from October 1984 to April 1987 (n=2856). A tot
al of 2587 subjects remained after exclusion of persons exposed in Hir
oshima or in utero and those who were not in Nagasaki at the time of t
he bombing. Thyroid radiation dose by the dosimetry system established
in 1986 was available for 1978 of the 2587 subjects. Main Outcome Mea
sures.-Thyroid diseases were diagnosed using uniform procedures includ
ing ultrasonic scanning. The relationship of the prevalence of each th
yroid disease with thyroid radiation dose, sex, and age was analyzed u
sing logistic models. Results.-A significant dose-response relationshi
p was observed for solid nodules, which include cancer, adenoma, adeno
matous goiter, and nodules without histological diagnosis, and for ant
ibody-positive spontaneous hypothyroidism (autoimmune hypothyroidism)
but not for other diseases. The prevalence of solid nodules showed a m
onotonic dose-response relationship, yet that of autoimmune hypothyroi
dism displayed a concave dose-response relationship reaching a maximum
(+/-SE) level of 0.7 +/- 0.2 Sv. Conclusions.-The present study confi
rmed the results of previous studies by showing a significant increase
in solid nodules with dose to the thyroid and demonstrated for the fi
rst time a significant increase in autoimmune disease among atomic bom
b survivors. A concave dose-response relationship indicates the necess
ity for further studies on the effects of relatively low doses of radi
ation on thyroid disease.