With the growing emphasis on affordability in aerospace systems design
for future aircraft, there is a need for new techniques to predict ac
curate system and life cycle costs (LCCs). The prediction methods must
be capable of quantifying cost differences resulting from material an
d manufacturing process alternatives. Existing cost models are primari
ly weight based. While these models have been used successfully for pr
edicting the costs of conventional aircraft, they are not sufficient f
or many modern or future aircraft that are produced using advanced man
ufacturing processes and materials. A high-fidelity production cost mo
del was developed and presented that accepts data from multiple levels
of product design analysis. The use of cost/time analysis (CTA) for a
ircraft production is demonstrated for the evaluation of production al
ternatives. The production-cost model and CTA techniques are included
in a LCC simulation. Numerical results are presented for a CTA evaluat
ion of advanced wing structural concepts for a supersonic transport.